{"id":9189,"date":"2026-09-09T15:01:56","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T19:01:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elglobal.do\/?p=9189"},"modified":"2026-09-09T15:11:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T19:11:19","slug":"iidh-capel-reporta-un-nivel-historico-de-abstencion-electoral-en-la-republica-dominicana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elglobal.do\/index.php\/2026\/09\/09\/iidh-capel-reporta-un-nivel-historico-de-abstencion-electoral-en-la-republica-dominicana\/","title":{"rendered":"IIDH-CAPEL reporta un nivel hist\u00f3rico de abstenci\u00f3n electoral en la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Santo Domingo. &#8211;<\/strong> Un estudio elaborado por el Instituto Interamericano de Derechos Humanos (IIDH), a trav\u00e9s de su Centro de Asesor\u00eda y Promoci\u00f3n Electoral (CAPEL), y publicado por la Junta Central Electoral (JCE), confirma que la&nbsp;<strong>abstenci\u00f3n<\/strong>&nbsp;dej\u00f3 de ser un fen\u00f3meno pasajero para convertirse en un desaf\u00edo estructural para la democracia dominicana.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"715\" height=\"384\" src=\"https:\/\/elglobal.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-62.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9194\" style=\"width:444px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/elglobal.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-62.png 715w, https:\/\/elglobal.do\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-62-300x161.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 715px) 100vw, 715px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seg\u00fan la investigaci\u00f3n, en los comicios generales de mayo de 2024 la abstenci\u00f3n lleg\u00f3 al&nbsp;<strong>45.6 %<\/strong>, muy por encima de los promedios hist\u00f3ricos, que se ubicaban entre el&nbsp;<strong>25 %<\/strong>&nbsp;y el&nbsp;<strong>40 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe, titulado&nbsp;<strong>Estudio sobre la abstenci\u00f3n electoral<\/strong>&nbsp;en la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana: voto nacional y en el exterior, se basa en una metodolog\u00eda mixta que combin\u00f3 una encuesta a&nbsp;<strong>2,535 personas<\/strong>&nbsp;\u20141,535 residentes en el pa\u00eds y 1,000 en el exterior\u2014 con entrevistas a profundidad y grupos focales realizados a&nbsp;<strong>48 ciudadanos<\/strong>&nbsp;que se abstuvieron de votar en 2024, adem\u00e1s de consultas a academia, sociedad civil, partidos pol\u00edticos y organismos del Estado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Voto en el exterior<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Uno de los hallazgos m\u00e1s preocupantes tiene que ver con los dominicanos residentes fuera del pa\u00eds. Mientras el voto nacional registr\u00f3 una abstenci\u00f3n de&nbsp;<strong>41,4 %<\/strong>&nbsp;(58,6 % de participaci\u00f3n), entre los electores en el exterior \u2014que representan el&nbsp;<strong>10.6 %<\/strong>&nbsp;del padr\u00f3n, con m\u00e1s de&nbsp;<strong>864,000<\/strong>&nbsp;inscritos\u2014 la abstenci\u00f3n lleg\u00f3 a un&nbsp;<strong>81 %<\/strong>, es decir, apenas un&nbsp;<strong>19 %<\/strong>&nbsp;acudi\u00f3 a votar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El estudio describe esta situaci\u00f3n como la paradoja de la \u00ab<strong>ciudadan\u00eda econ\u00f3mica sin ciudadan\u00eda pol\u00edtica<\/strong>\u00ab: el&nbsp;<strong>70.2 %<\/strong>&nbsp;de los dominicanos en el exterior env\u00eda remesas de manera regular, manteniendo un v\u00ednculo material fuerte con el pa\u00eds, pero ese compromiso econ\u00f3mico no se traduce en participaci\u00f3n electoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los investigadores atribuyen esta brecha a&nbsp;<strong>obst\u00e1culos log\u00edsticos<\/strong>, dificultades para conectar con la oferta partidaria y barreras psicol\u00f3gicas asociadas a la migraci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Desafecci\u00f3n, no apat\u00eda<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Contrario a lo que suele asumirse, los&nbsp;<strong>modelos estad\u00edsticos<\/strong>&nbsp;del estudio descartan que la edad o el g\u00e9nero expliquen la ca\u00edda en la participaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La llamada \u00abGeneraci\u00f3n Z\u00bb, por ejemplo, mostr\u00f3 niveles de asistencia a las urnas similares a los de los \u00abBaby Boomers\u00bb. En cambio, la investigaci\u00f3n identifica un marcado \u00abarraigo urbano\u00bb del abstencionismo: los grandes centros econ\u00f3micos, como el&nbsp;<strong>Distrito Nacional<\/strong>&nbsp;y&nbsp;<strong>Santiago<\/strong>, presentan los niveles m\u00e1s bajos de participaci\u00f3n, mientras que zonas rurales y fronterizas \u2014como&nbsp;<strong>Enriquillo<\/strong>&nbsp;y&nbsp;<strong>El Valle<\/strong>\u2014 mantienen n\u00facleos de alta concurrencia electoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe sostiene que buena parte de la abstenci\u00f3n no responde a desinter\u00e9s, sino a una forma de&nbsp;<strong>protesta consciente<\/strong>. Los datos muestran una contradicci\u00f3n central: el&nbsp;<strong>74 %<\/strong>&nbsp;de la poblaci\u00f3n respalda la democracia como sistema ideal, pero al mismo tiempo existe un fuerte rechazo hacia la clase pol\u00edtica, el Congreso y los partidos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Casi la mitad de los consultados, un&nbsp;<strong>47 %<\/strong>, califica la oferta electoral como \u00abm\u00e1s de lo mismo\u00bb. Los autores advierten que, si el sistema no logra recuperar credibilidad, este malestar podr\u00eda abrir espacio a posturas m\u00e1s autoritarias en ciertos sectores de la ciudadan\u00eda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pese a este panorama, el estudio destaca que Rep\u00fablica Dominicana constituye un caso at\u00edpico en la regi\u00f3n: seg\u00fan los \u00edndices de&nbsp;<strong>V-Dem<\/strong>, el pa\u00eds funciona como un \u00ab<strong>democratizador independiente<\/strong>\u00bb que lidera a nivel comparado en su&nbsp;<strong>componente deliberativo<\/strong>, en un contexto latinoamericano marcado por retrocesos democr\u00e1ticos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Barreras log\u00edsticas y propuestas de soluci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Entre las barreras identificadas para ejercer el sufragio destacan la desactualizaci\u00f3n del&nbsp;<strong>registro electoral<\/strong>, la falta de accesibilidad en los recintos de votaci\u00f3n \u2014especialmente para&nbsp;<strong>personas con discapacidad<\/strong>\u2014 y, en el caso del exterior, la rigidez de las jornadas laborales en los pa\u00edses receptores y la excesiva&nbsp;<strong>distancia hacia los centros<\/strong>&nbsp;de votaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para revertir esta tendencia, el estudio propone la construcci\u00f3n de \u00abpuentes\u00bb institucionales, simb\u00f3licos y territoriales: desde la&nbsp;<strong>regularizaci\u00f3n documental<\/strong>&nbsp;y la informaci\u00f3n proactiva a los electores, hasta la modernizaci\u00f3n del&nbsp;<strong>voto en el exterior<\/strong>&nbsp;mediante&nbsp;<strong>modalidades postales<\/strong>&nbsp;o digitales, y una gesti\u00f3n de recintos que no dependa de la voluntad de terceros pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La conclusi\u00f3n central del informe es clara: la&nbsp;<strong>respuesta al abstencionismo<\/strong>&nbsp;debe ser fundamentalmente pol\u00edtica y no solo administrativa. Rep\u00fablica Dominicana, se\u00f1alan los investigadores, ya gan\u00f3 la batalla de la&nbsp;<strong>legitimidad t\u00e9cnica<\/strong>&nbsp;de sus procesos electorales; el reto pendiente es \u00absocializar\u00bb su democracia y devolver a los ciudadanos la certeza de que su voto tiene un&nbsp;<strong>impacto real<\/strong>, sin importar d\u00f3nde residan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Santo Domingo. &#8211; Un estudio elaborado por el Instituto Interamericano de Derechos Humanos (IIDH), a trav\u00e9s de su Centro de Asesor\u00eda y Promoci\u00f3n Electoral (CAPEL), y publicado por la Junta&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9194,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[40,14],"tags":[4022,5025,5026,1022,207],"class_list":["post-9189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacionales","category-slider","tag-abstencionelectoral","tag-capel","tag-iidh","tag-investigacion","tag-jce"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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